tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:10 IAD → 07:27 ORD
    UA 2070 · United · 2h 17m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 ORD → 10:34 BNA
    UA 5304 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 54m · 94% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 24mIAD 06:10 to BNA 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.