tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:10 IAD → 07:27 ORD
    UA 2070 · United · 2h 17m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:00 ORD → 12:41 JAX
    AA 4740 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 31mIAD 06:10 to JAX 12:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.