Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Santa Ana via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 16:21 MCO → 18:39 ORD
    UA 2071 · United · 3h 18m · 58% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ORD → 22:19 SNA
    UA 308 · United · 4h 34m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 58mMCO 16:21 to SNA 22:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.