tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:18 SLC → 20:40 ORD
    UA 2072 · United · 3h 22m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:31 XNA
    UA 5767 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 62% on time, 16.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 13mSLC 16:18 to XNA 23:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.