tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Chicago via San Francisco: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:59 EUG → 15:35 SFO
    UA 2077 · United · 1h 36m · 58% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 SFO → 22:59 ORD
    UA 1482 · United · 4h 38m · 81% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Eugene). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 00mEUG 13:59 to ORD 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.