tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 17:17 IAD → 19:16 ATL
    UA 2081 · United · 1h 59m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 11mIAD 17:17 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.