tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Nashville via Houston: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:03 BWI → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2095 · United · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 IAH → 20:34 BNA
    UA 5359 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 31mBWI 15:03 to BNA 20:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.