tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Tampa via Houston: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:03 BWI → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2095 · United · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 IAH → 21:29 TPA
    UA 1312 · United · 2h 19m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 26mBWI 15:03 to TPA 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.