tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Memphis via Houston: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:03 BWI → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2095 · United · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 IAH → 19:54 MEM
    UA 6167 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 51mBWI 15:03 to MEM 19:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.