tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Sacramento via San Francisco: arrives on time 26%

  1. 20:08 SLC → 21:10 SFO
    UA 2097 · United · 2h 02m · 12% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:54 SFO → 23:59 SMF
    UA 1302 · United · 1h 05m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 51mSLC 20:08 to SMF 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.