Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Seattle → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 25%
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13:55 SEA → 20:21 ORDUA 2101 · United · 4h 26m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:20 ORD → 23:25 TULUA 1658 · United · 2h 05m · 40% on time, 3.2% cancelled
Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip7h 30mSEA 13:55 to TUL 23:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.