tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 23:30 LAS → 05:11 ORD
    UA 2102 · United · 3h 41m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 ORD → 08:54 DCA +1 day
    UA 1077 · United · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 24mLAS 23:30 to DCA 08:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.