Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Miami → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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16:10 MIA → 18:53 ORDUA 2106 · United · 3h 43m · 59% on time, 0.6% cancelled
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1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNAUA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled
Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 35mMIA 16:10 to BNA 21:45, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.