Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Los Angeles → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 31%
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10:45 LAX → 17:04 ORDUA 2113 · United · 4h 19m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled
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56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:00 ORD → 21:25 LGAUA 2458 · United · 2h 25m · 46% on time, 5.3% cancelled
Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 40mLAX 10:45 to LGA 21:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.