tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 89%

  1. 16:09 SAN → 17:49 SFO
    UA 2117 · United · 1h 40m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 11mSAN 16:09 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.