tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → New Orleans via Denver: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:40 EWR → 16:58 DEN
    UA 2120 · United · 4h 18m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 DEN → 21:34 MSY
    UA 1541 · United · 2h 49m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 54mEWR 14:40 to MSY 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.