tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:40 EWR → 16:58 DEN
    UA 2120 · United · 4h 18m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:46 DEN → 18:50 LAS
    UA 2338 · United · 2h 04m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 10mEWR 14:40 to LAS 18:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.