tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:40 EWR → 16:58 DEN
    UA 2120 · United · 4h 18m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 DEN → 20:43 MCI
    UA 2793 · United · 1h 48m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 03mEWR 14:40 to MCI 20:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.