tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:40 EWR → 16:58 DEN
    UA 2120 · United · 4h 18m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 DEN → 23:33 ORF
    UA 680 · United · 3h 35m · 71% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 53mEWR 14:40 to ORF 23:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.