tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 MSY → 08:19 IAH
    UA 2124 · United · 1h 19m · 73% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 34mMSY 07:00 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.