tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Greenville via Dulles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:35 BNA → 16:28 IAD
    UA 2125 · United · 1h 53m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 IAD → 19:04 GSP
    UA 4963 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 44m · 80% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 29mBNA 13:35 to GSP 19:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.