tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:56 GRR → 14:05 ORD
    UA 2138 · United · 1h 09m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:12 DCA
    UA 1941 · United · 2h 12m · 66% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 16mGRR 13:56 to DCA 18:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.