tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Nashville via Newark: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:33 IAD → 07:52 EWR
    UA 2147 · United · 1h 19m · 97% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:55 EWR → 12:18 BNA
    UA 1616 · United · 2h 23m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 45mIAD 06:33 to BNA 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.