tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Las Vegas via Newark: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:33 IAD → 07:52 EWR
    UA 2147 · United · 1h 19m · 97% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 EWR → 11:28 LAS
    UA 1631 · United · 5h 28m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 55mIAD 06:33 to LAS 11:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.