tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Rochester via Newark: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:33 IAD → 07:52 EWR
    UA 2147 · United · 1h 19m · 97% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:17 EWR → 11:40 ROC
    UA 3647 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 94% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 07mIAD 06:33 to ROC 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.