tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:25 ORD → 12:12 MSP
    UA 215 · United · 1h 47m · 79% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 MSP → 15:48 RAP
    DL 3851 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 23mORD 10:25 to RAP 15:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.