tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:15 DFW → 16:57 ORD
    UA 2160 · United · 2h 42m · 63% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ORD → 21:16 CAE
    UA 4478 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 21m · 73% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 01mDFW 14:15 to CAE 21:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.