tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Chattanooga via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:15 DFW → 16:57 ORD
    UA 2160 · United · 2h 42m · 63% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 ORD → 20:49 CHA
    UA 4507 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 59m · 64% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chattanooga is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 34mDFW 14:15 to CHA 20:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.