tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:15 DFW → 16:57 ORD
    UA 2160 · United · 2h 42m · 63% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:50 AVL
    UA 5663 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 35mDFW 14:15 to AVL 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.