tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 06:10 ONT → 12:25 ORD
    UA 2171 · United · 4h 15m · 91% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:22 LGA
    UA 1617 · United · 2h 22m · 59% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip9h 12mONT 06:10 to LGA 18:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.