tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → West Palm Beach via Newark: arrives on time 16%

  1. 15:57 ORD → 19:33 EWR
    UA 2171 · United · 2h 36m · 27% on time, 16.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 EWR → 23:28 PBI
    UA 2650 · United · 3h 09m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (16.1% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 31mORD 15:57 to PBI 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.