tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Fort Lauderdale via Newark: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:15 BNA → 16:37 EWR
    UA 2174 · United · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 EWR → 20:48 FLL
    UA 1907 · United · 3h 18m · 82% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 33mBNA 13:15 to FLL 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.