tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:24 IAH → 10:20 ORD
    UA 2182 · United · 2h 56m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:17 TVC
    AA 3772 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 53mIAH 07:24 to TVC 16:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.