tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Pensacola via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:24 IAH → 10:20 ORD
    UA 2182 · United · 2h 56m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:29 ORD → 15:03 PNS
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 39mIAH 07:24 to PNS 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.