Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Newark: arrives on time 70%

  1. 21:15 SNA → 05:33 EWR
    UA 2186 · United · 5h 18m · 90% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:30 EWR → 07:46 DCA +1 day
    UA 4437 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 16m · 84% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 31mSNA 21:15 to DCA 07:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.