tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → El Paso via Houston: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:35 AUS → 10:45 IAH
    UA 2196 · United · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:20 IAH → 15:25 ELP
    UA 4275 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 50mAUS 09:35 to ELP 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.