tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:48 BZN → 16:57 ORD
    UA 2202 · United · 3h 09m · 78% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 ORD → 21:54 LGA
    UA 2605 · United · 2h 29m · 54% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 06mBZN 12:48 to LGA 21:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.