tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hartford via Dulles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:12 ORD → 21:22 IAD
    UA 2202 · United · 2h 10m · 57% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 IAD → 23:59 BDL
    UA 444 · United · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 47mORD 18:12 to BDL 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.