tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Newark via Houston: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:22 STT → 17:25 IAH
    UA 2208 · United · 5h 03m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 IAH → 23:00 EWR
    UA 404 · United · 3h 42m · 66% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 38mSTT 13:22 to EWR 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.