Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Jacksonville → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 28%
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16:55 JAX → 18:48 ORDUA 2211 · United · 2h 53m · 70% on time, 3.2% cancelled
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57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:45 ORD → 23:15 LGAUA 1655 · United · 2h 30m · 50% on time, 12.8% cancelled
Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (12.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 20mJAX 16:55 to LGA 23:15, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.