tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Juan → Buffalo via Newark: arrives on time 82%

  1. 01:00 SJU → 05:10 EWR
    UA 2219 · United · 4h 10m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 EWR → 09:53 BUF
    UA 3529 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 53mSJU 01:00 to BUF 09:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.