tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 62%

  1. 12:30 TPA → 14:40 ORD
    UA 2223 · United · 3h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 21:03 BUF
    UA 1335 · United · 1h 46m · 66% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 33mTPA 12:30 to BUF 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.