tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:00 ORD → 08:41 MSP
    UA 2232 · United · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:26 MSP → 13:48 DCA
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 23m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 49mORD 07:00 to DCA 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.