tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:30 BDL → 17:58 DEN
    UA 2239 · United · 4h 28m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DEN → 21:50 MSP
    UA 2076 · United · 2h 05m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 20mBDL 15:30 to MSP 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.