tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 13:10 IAD → 15:55 SEA
    UA 2241 · United · 5h 45m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:58 SEA → 20:39 BUR
    AS 1585 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip10h 29mIAD 13:10 to BUR 20:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.