Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Monterey via San Francisco: arrives on time 28%

  1. 19:05 SEA → 21:21 SFO
    UA 2241 · United · 2h 16m · 22% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SFO → 23:47 MRY
    UA 5670 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 07m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 42mSEA 19:05 to MRY 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.