tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Juan via Orlando: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:20 IAH → 10:51 MCO
    UA 2245 · United · 2h 31m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:57 MCO → 16:59 SJU
    F9 1824 · Frontier · 3h 03m · 79% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Juan is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 40mIAH 07:20 to SJU 16:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.