Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Newark via Denver: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:51 MSP → 18:17 DEN
    UA 2272 · United · 2h 26m · 65% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 01:04 EWR +1 day
    UA 2767 · United · 3h 54m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 13mMSP 16:51 to EWR 01:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.