Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 22:38 SFO → 05:01 ORD
    UA 2278 · United · 4h 23m · 81% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 ORD → 08:54 DCA +1 day
    UA 1077 · United · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 16mSFO 22:38 to DCA 08:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.