tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Palm Springs via San Francisco: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:14 PDX → 15:05 SFO
    UA 2279 · United · 1h 51m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:56 SFO → 17:46 PSP
    UA 5354 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 50m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 32mPDX 13:14 to PSP 17:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.